Imirasire y'izuba mpuzamahanga mu 2023

Nk’uko S & P Global ibivuga, igabanuka ry’amafaranga yakoreshejwe, umusaruro w’abaturanyi, n’ingufu zagabanijwe ni ibintu bitatu byingenzi mu nganda zishobora kuvugururwa muri uyu mwaka.

Guhagarika amasoko bikomeje, intego zogutanga amasoko ashobora kuvugururwa, hamwe n’ibibazo by’ingufu mpuzamahanga mu 2022. S & P Global yavuze ko bumwe muri ubwo buryo bugenda butera imbere mu cyiciro gishya cyo kuzamura ingufu muri uyu mwaka.

Nyuma yimyaka ibiri nyuma yo gutanga ibicuruzwa byegeranijwe cyane, ibikoresho fatizo n’amafaranga yo gutwara abantu bizagabanuka mu 2023, kandi amafaranga yo gutwara abantu ku isi ageze ku rwego mbere y’icyorezo gishya cy’ikamba. S & P Global yavuze ko igabanuka ryibiciro rwose ritazahita rihinduka igabanuka ryumutungo rusange ukoreshwa mubikorwa byingufu zishobora kongera ingufu.

S & P Global yavuze ko ubutaka bwakoresheje iburyo n’umuyoboro w’amashanyarazi bugenzurwa ko ari icyuho gikomeye muri uyu murenge. Kubera ko abashoramari batinya kohereza inkunga ku masoko adahagije, bemeye kwishyura inyubako n’amafaranga yo kubaka mu iyubakwa ry’inyubako - ingaruka mbi ziterwa n’iterambere ryinshi.

Ihinduka ryiyongereye mugipimo cyibiciro ni ubuke bwabakozi ba tekiniki, bigatuma ibiciro byakazi byubaka byiyongera. S & P Global yavuze ko izamuka ry’amafaranga yakoreshejwe rishobora kubangamira igabanuka ry’igipimo cy’ishoramari ry’akazi mu gihe gito.

Nkuko itangwa rya polysilicon ari ryinshi cyane, mu ntangiriro za 2023, igiciro cyibice byizuba cyaragabanutse vuba nkuko byari byitezwe. Ubu butabazi bushobora gucengera ikiguzi cyibintu, nyamara biteganijwe ko bizarangizwa nuwabitanze agamije kugarura inyungu.

Muburyo bwo hasi bwurunigi rwagaciro, inyungu yinyungu yuwashizeho nuyihagarariye iteganijwe kuzamuka. S & P yavuze ko ibyo bishobora kugabanya igiciro cyabakoresha amaherezo yizuba kandi bikagabanya inyungu. Bizunguka byinshi mugutezimbere imishinga isaba rubanda bivuye kugabanuka. S & P iteganya ko imirimo mpuzamahanga ikoreshwa rusange izakenera kwiyongera, cyane cyane mumasoko agaragara yunvikana kugusubiza inyuma.

Muri 2022, amashanyarazi akomoka ku mirasire y'izuba azashimangira imiterere yayo nk'uburyo busanzwe bwo gutanga amashanyarazi ku masoko menshi akuze. S & P Global iteganya ko mu 2023, ikoranabuhanga rizaguka ku gace gashya k'abakiriya kandi kafashe umwanya mu isoko rishya. Hamwe niterambere ryamahitamo asangiwe nizuba, ingo nshya nakazi gake mubucuruzi bizashobora rwose kugera kuri gride. Sisitemu ya Photovoltaque cyangwa PV nayo iteganijwe ko izahuzwa hamwe nububiko bwamashanyarazi.

Mu mirimo y'abagize umuryango, kwishyura mbere biracyari kimwe mubisanzwe muburyo bwo gushora imari. Nyamara, abakwirakwiza amashanyarazi bakomeje guteza imbere ibidukikije bitandukanye, bigizwe nubukode bwigihe kirekire, ubukode bwigihe gito, nuburyo bwo gushaka amashanyarazi. Izi ngero zo gutera inkunga zoherejwe cyane muri Amerika mu myaka icumi ishize kandi biteganijwe ko ziyongera no mu bihugu byinshi.

Nkuko iseswa rihinduka intego nyamukuru yibigo byinshi, biteganijwe ko ubucuruzi, kimwe n’abakoresha inganda, nabo bazakoresha amafaranga menshi y’abandi bantu. S.

Muri rusange ikirere giteganijwe giteganijwe kugira uruhare mu kongera amashanyarazi yagabanijwe, yaba inkunga y'amafaranga, kugabanuka k'umusoro ku nyongeragaciro, inkunga yo kwishyura imisoro, cyangwa kurinda igihe kirekire ibiciro by'amashanyarazi.

Ibibazo byo gutanga amasoko hamwe nibibazo byumutekano byigihugu byibanze cyane cyane aho amashanyarazi akomoka ku zuba hamwe n’ububiko bw’amashanyarazi. By'umwihariko muri Amerika n'Uburayi, kwibanda ku kugabanya akamaro ka gaze karemano yatumijwe mu mahanga byatumye ingufu z'amashanyarazi zishobora kuba uburyo bwo gutanga ingufu.

Gahunda nshya nka USA 'Kugabanya Ifaranga ' hamwe na Europe RepowerEu zirimo gushora imari myinshi mubukungu mubushobozi bushya bwo gukora, ibyo nabyo bizatera imbaraga zo kohereza. S & P Global iteganya ko ingufu z'umuyaga mpuzamahanga, ingufu z'izuba, hamwe n’imishinga yo kubika ingufu za batiri mu 2023 izagera kuri 500 GW, izamuka rirenga 20% muri 2022.

'Icyakora, impungenge z’uko Ubushinwa bwiganje mu gukora ibikoresho bikomeje kubaho -ku buryo bwihariye ku bijyanye n’amashanyarazi akomoka ku mirasire y’izuba na batiri, hiyongereyeho ingaruka zitandukanye zijyanye n’ibicuruzwa bikenerwa n’itangwa ry’akarere kamwe, ' S & P Global.

S & P Global yavuze ko ubutaka bukoresha umurongo wa gride iburyo hamwe n’amashanyarazi, akaba ari yo manini manini manini ku isoko. S & P iteganya ko imirimo mpuzamahanga yo gukoresha rusange iziyongera rwose, cyane cyane mumasoko agaragara yoroheje kubiciro.

Mu 2022, ingufu zituruka ku mirasire y'izuba zahujije imiterere yazo nko guhitamo amashanyarazi gakondo ku masoko menshi yakuze neza. S & P International iteganya ko mu 2023, ikoranabuhanga riziyongera mu rwego rushya rw’abaguzi kandi rufate umwanya ku isoko rishya. Mugihe hagaragaye amahitamo akomoka ku mirasire y'izuba, ingo nshya, hamwe nakazi gaciriritse bizashobora kugera kuri gride, nkuko biteganijwe ko izuba rizaba ryinshi cyane hamwe nububiko bwamashanyarazi.